Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 22, 2008
River flow2.62 ft
Actual · 07/22/2008
2.62 ft; discharge 1,470 cfs
USGS daily
07/22 average
2.21 ft; discharge 1,124 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.41 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · No observation · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/22 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2008
No observation
07/22 average
84° / 35°F · 0.01"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2008
88° / 59°F · 0.02"
07/22 average
91° / 54°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/22 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/22 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.67% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/22 launch
1.67%
7% below season avg 1.79% (−0.12 pts)
First-choice applications
239
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.