Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 15, 2009
River flow2.36 ft
Actual · 10/15/2009
2.36 ft; discharge 1,220 cfs
USGS daily
10/15 average
1.72 ft; discharge 659 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.64 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 53° / 33°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/15 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2009
53° / 33°F · 0.00"
10/15 average
57° / 22°F · 0.05"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2009
66° / 42°F · 0.08"
10/15 average
61° / 32°F · 0.01"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/15 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/15 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.