Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 15, 2011
River flow6.61 ft
Actual · 06/15/2011
6.61 ft; discharge 9,330 cfs
USGS daily
06/15 average
4.17 ft; discharge 4,112 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 2.44 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 62° / 34°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/15 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.7 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2011
62° / 34°F · 0.00"
06/15 average
65° / 31°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2011
74° / 41°F · 0.00"
06/15 average
75° / 44°F · 0.03"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/15 average: 98% of peak melted · 0.7 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/15 average: 88% of peak melted · 6.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.59% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/15 launch
1.59%
11% below season avg 1.79% (−0.20 pts)
First-choice applications
251
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.