Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 28, 2012
River flow4.62 ft
Actual · 05/28/2012
4.62 ft; discharge 4,880 cfs
USGS daily
05/28 average
5.13 ft; discharge 6,025 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.51 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 46° / 29°F · 0.05" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/28 average: 80% of peak melted · 6.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
46° / 29°F · 0.05"
05/28 average
61° / 32°F · 0.06"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
50° / 38°F · 0.04"
05/28 average
69° / 42°F · 0.05"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/28 average: 80% of peak melted · 6.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/28 average: 52% of peak melted · 21.4 in SWE
Lottery odds1.77% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 05/28 launch
1.77%
1% below season avg 1.79% (−0.02 pts)
First-choice applications
226
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.