Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 20, 2012
River flow4.24 ft
Actual · 06/20/2012
4.24 ft; discharge 4,150 cfs
USGS daily
06/20 average
3.86 ft; discharge 3,522 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.38 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 55° / 21°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/20 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
55° / 21°F · 0.00"
06/20 average
68° / 30°F · 0.02"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
64° / 37°F · 0.00"
06/20 average
76° / 45°F · 0.04"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/20 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/20 average: 94% of peak melted · 3.3 in SWE
Lottery odds1.32% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/20 launch
1.32%
26% below season avg 1.79% (−0.47 pts)
First-choice applications
304
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.