Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 22, 2012
River flow4.15 ft
Actual · 06/22/2012
4.15 ft; discharge 3,990 cfs
USGS daily
06/22 average
3.78 ft; discharge 3,391 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.37 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 81° / 39°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/22 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2012
81° / 39°F · 0.00"
06/22 average
71° / 32°F · 0.02"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2012
86° / 49°F · 0.00"
06/22 average
78° / 46°F · 0.04"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/22 average: 99% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/22 average: 95% of peak melted · 2.6 in SWE
Lottery odds1.04% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/22 launch
1.04%
42% below season avg 1.79% (−0.75 pts)
First-choice applications
384
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.