Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 9, 2014
River flow4.92 ft
Actual · 06/09/2014
4.92 ft; discharge 5,220 cfs
USGS daily
06/09 average
4.76 ft; discharge 5,294 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.16 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 69° / 27°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/09 average: 96% of peak melted · 1.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2014
69° / 27°F · 0.00"
06/09 average
68° / 33°F · 0.02"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2014
76° / 43°F · 0.00"
06/09 average
73° / 46°F · 0.04"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/09 average: 96% of peak melted · 1.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/09 average: 78% of peak melted · 10.3 in SWE
Lottery odds1.64% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/09 launch
1.64%
8% below season avg 1.79% (−0.15 pts)
First-choice applications
244
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.