Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, September 3, 2014
River flow1.79 ft
Actual · 09/03/2014
1.79 ft; discharge 732 cfs
USGS daily
09/03 average
1.71 ft; discharge 648 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.08 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 74° / 27°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 09/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2014
74° / 27°F · 0.00"
09/03 average
79° / 30°F · 0.03"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2014
83° / 43°F · 0.00"
09/03 average
83° / 45°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 09/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 09/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds4.44% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 09/03 launch
4.44%
2.5× season avg 1.79% (+2.65 pts)
First-choice applications
45
Private launches available
2
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.