Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, April 21, 2016
River flow4.80 ft
Actual · 04/21/2016
4.80 ft; discharge 5,120 cfs
USGS daily
04/21 average
3.20 ft; discharge 2,384 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 1.60 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 70° / 21°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 04/21 average: 10% of peak melted · 24.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2016
70° / 21°F · 0.00"
04/21 average
52° / 19°F · 0.05"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2016
79° / 34°F · 0.00"
04/21 average
62° / 31°F · 0.02"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 04/21 average: 10% of peak melted · 24.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 04/21 average: 3% of peak melted · 41.9 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.