Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 2, 2018
River flow4.78 ft
Actual · 05/02/2018
4.78 ft; discharge 5,080 cfs
USGS daily
05/02 average
3.85 ft; discharge 3,690 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.93 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 51° / 21°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/02 average: 25% of peak melted · 20.8 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2018
51° / 21°F · 0.00"
05/02 average
56° / 22°F · 0.00"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2018
57° / 31°F · 0.00"
05/02 average
64° / 32°F · 0.00"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/02 average: 25% of peak melted · 20.8 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/02 average: 11% of peak melted · 39.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.