Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 12, 2018
River flow5.92 ft
Actual · 05/12/2018
5.92 ft; discharge 7,640 cfs
USGS daily
05/12 average
4.83 ft; discharge 5,480 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 1.09 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 46° / 32°F · 0.03" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/12 average: 45% of peak melted · 15.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2018
46° / 32°F · 0.03"
05/12 average
62° / 27°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2018
57° / 43°F · 0.02"
05/12 average
70° / 38°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/12 average: 45% of peak melted · 15.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/12 average: 22% of peak melted · 34.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Saturdays: 2.81%, about 1 in 36
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.