Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 5, 2018
River flow4.69 ft
Actual · 06/05/2018
4.69 ft; discharge 4,880 cfs
USGS daily
06/05 average
5.27 ft; discharge 6,394 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.58 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 75° / 39°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/05 average: 93% of peak melted · 2.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2018
75° / 39°F · 0.00"
06/05 average
69° / 34°F · 0.06"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2018
88° / 54°F · 0.00"
06/05 average
77° / 47°F · 0.03"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/05 average: 93% of peak melted · 2.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/05 average: 71% of peak melted · 13.4 in SWE
Lottery odds4.30% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/05 launch
4.30%
2.4× season avg 1.79% (+2.51 pts)
First-choice applications
93
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.