Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 23, 2018
River flow2.12 ft
Actual · 07/23/2018
2.12 ft; discharge 1,070 cfs
USGS daily
07/23 average
2.21 ft; discharge 1,114 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.09 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 83° / 26°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/23 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2018
83° / 26°F · 0.00"
07/23 average
83° / 35°F · 0.01"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2018
88° / 48°F · 0.00"
07/23 average
90° / 54°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/23 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/23 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds2.06% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/23 launch
2.06%
1.2× season avg 1.79% (+0.27 pts)
First-choice applications
243
Private launches available
5
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.