Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 30, 2018
River flow2.00 ft
Actual · 07/30/2018
2.00 ft; discharge 950 cfs
USGS daily
07/30 average
2.06 ft; discharge 962 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.06 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 84° / 31°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2018
84° / 31°F · 0.00"
07/30 average
84° / 37°F · 0.03"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2018
87° / 51°F · 0.00"
07/30 average
89° / 53°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds3.77% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/30 launch
3.77%
2.1× season avg 1.79% (+1.98 pts)
First-choice applications
106
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.