Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 27, 2020
River flow3.27 ft
Actual · 06/27/2020
3.27 ft; discharge 2,510 cfs
USGS daily
06/27 average
3.45 ft; discharge 2,812 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.18 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 80° / 34°F · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/27 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2020
80° / 34°F
06/27 average
75° / 35°F · 0.04"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2020
91° / 52°F · 0.00"
06/27 average
83° / 50°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/27 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/27 average: 98% of peak melted · 1.2 in SWE
Lottery odds1.16% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/27 launch
1.16%
35% below season avg 1.79% (−0.63 pts)
First-choice applications
431
Private launches available
5
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Saturdays: 2.81%, about 1 in 36
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.