Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 18, 2020
River flow2.26 ft
Actual · 07/18/2020
2.26 ft; discharge 1,210 cfs
USGS daily
07/18 average
2.32 ft; discharge 1,241 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.06 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 82° / 31°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/18 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2020
82° / 31°F · 0.00"
07/18 average
82° / 34°F · 0.00"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2020
98° / 53°F · 0.00"
07/18 average
90° / 53°F · 0.03"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/18 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/18 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.98% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/18 launch
1.98%
1.1× season avg 1.79% (+0.19 pts)
First-choice applications
202
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Saturdays: 2.81%, about 1 in 36
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.