Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, August 25, 2020
River flow1.74 ft
Actual · 08/25/2020
1.74 ft; discharge 706 cfs
USGS daily
08/25 average
1.76 ft; discharge 697 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.02 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 80° / 38°F · 0.04" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 08/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2020
80° / 38°F · 0.04"
08/25 average
78° / 31°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2020
79° / 50°F · 0.00"
08/25 average
82° / 46°F · 0.04"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 08/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 08/25 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds3.23% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 08/25 launch
3.23%
1.8× season avg 1.79% (+1.44 pts)
First-choice applications
31
Private launches available
1
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.