Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 3, 2021
River flow3.97 ft
Actual · 05/03/2021
3.97 ft; discharge 3,630 cfs
USGS daily
05/03 average
3.95 ft; discharge 3,824 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.02 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 51° / 32°F · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/03 average: 27% of peak melted · 20.3 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
51° / 32°F
05/03 average
57° / 25°F · 0.08"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
60° / 38°F · 0.00"
05/03 average
66° / 34°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/03 average: 27% of peak melted · 20.3 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/03 average: 11% of peak melted · 38.8 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.