Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 7, 2021
River flow4.27 ft
Actual · 05/07/2021
4.27 ft; discharge 4,230 cfs
USGS daily
05/07 average
4.67 ft; discharge 5,044 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.40 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 73° / 20°F · 0.03" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/07 average: 34% of peak melted · 18.3 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
73° / 20°F · 0.03"
05/07 average
59° / 25°F · 0.08"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
86° / 31°F · 0.00"
05/07 average
67° / 37°F · 0.03"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/07 average: 34% of peak melted · 18.3 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/07 average: 15% of peak melted · 37.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.