Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 19, 2021
River flow4.26 ft
Actual · 05/19/2021
4.26 ft; discharge 4,170 cfs
USGS daily
05/19 average
5.43 ft; discharge 7,026 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 1.17 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 63° / 33°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/19 average: 64% of peak melted · 10.6 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
63° / 33°F · 0.00"
05/19 average
61° / 30°F · 0.06"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
81° / 42°F · 0.00"
05/19 average
71° / 41°F · 0.04"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/19 average: 64% of peak melted · 10.6 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/19 average: 37% of peak melted · 28.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.