Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 28, 2021
River flow2.02 ft
Actual · 06/28/2021
2.02 ft; discharge 968 cfs
USGS daily
06/28 average
3.36 ft; discharge 2,688 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 1.34 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 84° / 38°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
84° / 38°F · 0.00"
06/28 average
76° / 35°F · 0.02"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
94° / 53°F · 0.00"
06/28 average
85° / 50°F · 0.03"
18 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/28 average: 98% of peak melted · 1.1 in SWE
Lottery odds1.30% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/28 launch
1.30%
27% below season avg 1.79% (−0.49 pts)
First-choice applications
308
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.