Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 8, 2021
River flow1.80 ft
Actual · 07/08/2021
1.80 ft; discharge 759 cfs
USGS daily
07/08 average
2.72 ft; discharge 1,735 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.92 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 88° / 32°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/08 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
88° / 32°F · 0.00"
07/08 average
81° / 35°F · 0.01"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
100° / 52°F · 0.00"
07/08 average
87° / 52°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/08 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/08 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds0.63% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/08 launch
0.63%
65% below season avg 1.79% (−1.16 pts)
First-choice applications
477
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.