Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, September 14, 2021
River flow1.39 ft
Actual · 09/14/2021
1.39 ft; discharge 406 cfs
USGS daily
09/14 average
1.67 ft; discharge 614 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.28 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 73° / 17°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 09/14 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
73° / 17°F · 0.00"
09/14 average
73° / 27°F · 0.04"
20 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
79° / 39°F · 0.00"
09/14 average
75° / 41°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 09/14 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 09/14 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.