Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 5, 2021
River flow1.38 ft
Actual · 10/05/2021
1.38 ft; discharge 399 cfs
USGS daily
10/05 average
1.72 ft; discharge 660 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.34 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 74° / 16°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/05 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
74° / 16°F · 0.00"
10/05 average
57° / 24°F · 0.06"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
83° / 29°F · 0.00"
10/05 average
62° / 36°F · 0.07"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/05 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/05 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.