Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 6, 2021
River flow1.37 ft
Actual · 10/06/2021
1.37 ft; discharge 397 cfs
USGS daily
10/06 average
1.71 ft; discharge 654 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.34 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 74° / 20°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/06 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
74° / 20°F · 0.00"
10/06 average
59° / 23°F · 0.05"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
84° / 39°F · 0.00"
10/06 average
62° / 35°F · 0.04"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/06 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/06 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.