Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 16, 2021
River flow1.42 ft
Actual · 10/16/2021
1.42 ft; discharge 426 cfs
USGS daily
10/16 average
1.74 ft; discharge 680 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.32 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 53° / 17°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/16 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2021
53° / 17°F · 0.00"
10/16 average
58° / 22°F · 0.09"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2021
60° / 27°F · 0.00"
10/16 average
61° / 32°F · 0.01"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/16 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/16 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Saturdays: 2.81%, about 1 in 36
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.