Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 12, 2022
River flow3.35 ft
Actual · 05/12/2022
3.35 ft; discharge 2,630 cfs
USGS daily
05/12 average
4.83 ft; discharge 5,480 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 1.48 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 48° / 26°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/12 average: 45% of peak melted · 15.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
48° / 26°F · 0.00"
05/12 average
62° / 27°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
62° / 33°F · 0.07"
05/12 average
70° / 38°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/12 average: 45% of peak melted · 15.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/12 average: 22% of peak melted · 34.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.