Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 16, 2022
River flow4.29 ft
Actual · 05/16/2022
4.29 ft; discharge 4,330 cfs
USGS daily
05/16 average
5.26 ft; discharge 6,387 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.97 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 70° / 32°F · 0.09" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/16 average: 56% of peak melted · 12.7 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
70° / 32°F · 0.09"
05/16 average
64° / 28°F · 0.05"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
79° / 40°F · 0.08"
05/16 average
72° / 41°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/16 average: 56% of peak melted · 12.7 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/16 average: 30% of peak melted · 30.8 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.