Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 19, 2022
River flow5.12 ft
Actual · 05/19/2022
5.12 ft; discharge 5,880 cfs
USGS daily
05/19 average
5.43 ft; discharge 7,026 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.31 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 58° / 28°F · 0.07" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/19 average: 64% of peak melted · 10.6 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
58° / 28°F · 0.07"
05/19 average
61° / 30°F · 0.06"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
66° / 31°F · 0.00"
05/19 average
71° / 41°F · 0.04"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/19 average: 64% of peak melted · 10.6 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/19 average: 37% of peak melted · 28.1 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.