Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 6, 2022
River flow5.97 ft
Actual · 06/06/2022
5.97 ft; discharge 7,860 cfs
USGS daily
06/06 average
5.16 ft; discharge 6,096 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.81 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 55° / 33°F · 0.29" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/06 average: 94% of peak melted · 1.9 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
55° / 33°F · 0.29"
06/06 average
68° / 33°F · 0.05"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
65° / 34°F
06/06 average
77° / 46°F · 0.04"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/06 average: 94% of peak melted · 1.9 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/06 average: 73% of peak melted · 12.4 in SWE
Lottery odds3.88% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/06 launch
3.88%
2.2× season avg 1.79% (+2.09 pts)
First-choice applications
103
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.