Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 13, 2022
River flow2.67 ft
Actual · 07/13/2022
2.67 ft; discharge 1,690 cfs
USGS daily
07/13 average
2.50 ft; discharge 1,447 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.17 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 86° / 38°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/13 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
86° / 38°F · 0.00"
07/13 average
82° / 37°F · 0.01"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
96° / 56°F · 0.00"
07/13 average
88° / 53°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/13 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/13 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.22% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/13 launch
1.22%
32% below season avg 1.79% (−0.57 pts)
First-choice applications
328
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.