Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, August 1, 2022
River flow2.08 ft
Actual · 08/01/2022
2.08 ft; discharge 1,030 cfs
USGS daily
08/01 average
2.02 ft; discharge 929 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.06 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 87° / 39°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 08/01 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
87° / 39°F · 0.00"
08/01 average
83° / 36°F · 0.03"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
99° / 54°F · 0.00"
08/01 average
90° / 53°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 08/01 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 08/01 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds1.32% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 08/01 launch
1.32%
26% below season avg 1.79% (−0.47 pts)
First-choice applications
228
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.