Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, August 3, 2022
River flow2.08 ft
Actual · 08/03/2022
2.08 ft; discharge 1,020 cfs
USGS daily
08/03 average
2.00 ft; discharge 906 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.08 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 74° / 34°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 08/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
74° / 34°F · 0.02"
08/03 average
83° / 35°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
93° / 53°F · 0.00"
08/03 average
88° / 51°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 08/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 08/03 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds3.03% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 08/03 launch
3.03%
1.7× season avg 1.79% (+1.24 pts)
First-choice applications
132
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.