Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, August 28, 2022
River flow1.75 ft
Actual · 08/28/2022
1.75 ft; discharge 715 cfs
USGS daily
08/28 average
1.76 ft; discharge 690 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.01 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 73° / 30°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 08/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2022
73° / 30°F · 0.00"
08/28 average
76° / 31°F · 0.02"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2022
88° / 51°F · 0.00"
08/28 average
82° / 47°F · 0.02"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 08/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 08/28 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds8.70% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 08/28 launch
8.70%
4.9× season avg 1.79% (+6.91 pts)
First-choice applications
23
Private launches available
2
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.