Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 22, 2023
River flow7.41 ft
Actual · 05/22/2023
7.41 ft; discharge 11,700 cfs
USGS daily
05/22 average
5.25 ft; discharge 6,617 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 2.16 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 74° / 37°F · 0.14" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/22 average: 69% of peak melted · 9.1 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2023
74° / 37°F · 0.14"
05/22 average
58° / 31°F · 0.10"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2023
83° / 53°F · 0.02"
05/22 average
66° / 42°F · 0.04"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/22 average: 69% of peak melted · 9.1 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/22 average: 42% of peak melted · 25.9 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.