Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, August 30, 2024
River flow1.59 ft
Actual · 08/30/2024
1.59 ft; discharge 577 cfs
USGS daily
08/30 average
1.74 ft; discharge 674 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.15 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 73° / 21°F · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 08/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2024
73° / 21°F
08/30 average
78° / 31°F · 0.02"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2024
82° / 39°F · 0.00"
08/30 average
85° / 47°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 08/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 08/30 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds11.11% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 08/30 launch
11.11%
6.2× season avg 1.79% (+9.32 pts)
First-choice applications
18
Private launches available
2
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.