Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 15, 2025
River flow4.92 ft
Actual · 05/15/2025
4.92 ft; discharge 5,450 cfs
USGS daily
05/15 average
5.09 ft; discharge 6,010 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.17 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 52° / 30°F · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/15 average: 53% of peak melted · 13.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2025
52° / 30°F
05/15 average
63° / 29°F · 0.02"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2025
60° / 44°F · 0.07"
05/15 average
72° / 41°F · 0.05"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/15 average: 53% of peak melted · 13.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/15 average: 28% of peak melted · 31.7 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.