Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 29, 2025
River flow5.34 ft
Actual · 05/29/2025
5.34 ft; discharge 6,420 cfs
USGS daily
05/29 average
5.16 ft; discharge 6,018 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.18 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 77° / 31°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/29 average: 81% of peak melted · 5.6 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2025
77° / 31°F · 0.00"
05/29 average
62° / 31°F · 0.06"
18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2025
87° / 49°F · 0.00"
05/29 average
70° / 42°F · 0.06"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/29 average: 81% of peak melted · 5.6 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/29 average: 54% of peak melted · 20.5 in SWE
Lottery odds7.02% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 05/29 launch
7.02%
3.9× season avg 1.79% (+5.23 pts)
First-choice applications
57
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.