Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, July 6, 2025
River flow2.35 ft
Actual · 07/06/2025
2.35 ft; discharge 1,290 cfs
USGS daily
07/06 average
2.84 ft; discharge 1,906 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.49 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 70° / 31°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 07/06 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2025
70° / 31°F · 0.02"
07/06 average
79° / 33°F · 0.01"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2025
80° / 46°F · 0.00"
07/06 average
85° / 51°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 07/06 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 07/06 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds0.98% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 07/06 launch
0.98%
45% below season avg 1.79% (−0.81 pts)
First-choice applications
408
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.