Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, August 9, 2025
River flow1.71 ft
Actual · 08/09/2025
1.71 ft; discharge 653 cfs
USGS daily
08/09 average
1.94 ft; discharge 849 cfs
20-year USGS
Below average by 0.23 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 73° / 28°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 08/09 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2025
73° / 28°F · 0.00"
08/09 average
77° / 35°F · 0.04"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2025
73° / 45°F · 0.00"
08/09 average
82° / 50°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 08/09 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 08/09 average: 100% of peak melted · 0.0 in SWE
Lottery odds9.38% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 08/09 launch
9.38%
5.2× season avg 1.79% (+7.59 pts)
First-choice applications
32
Private launches available
3
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Saturdays: 2.81%, about 1 in 36
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.