Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, April 16, 2026
River flow3.83 ft
Actual · 04/16/2026
3.83 ft; discharge 3,390 cfs
Provisional
04/16 average
2.69 ft; discharge 1,783 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 1.14 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 45° / 21°F · 0.23" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 04/16 average: 6% of peak melted · 25.4 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2026
45° / 21°F · 0.23"
04/16 average
45° / 16°F · 0.04"
17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2026
62° / 30°F · 0.00"
04/16 average
55° / 30°F · 0.01"
20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 04/16 average: 6% of peak melted · 25.4 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 04/16 average: 1% of peak melted · 42.0 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.