Past date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 11, 2026
River flow5.36 ft
Actual · 05/11/2026
5.36 ft; discharge 6,450 cfs
Provisional
05/11 average
4.74 ft; discharge 5,248 cfs
20-year USGS
Above average by 0.62 ft.
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 73° / 25°F · 0.00" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/11 average: 43% of peak melted · 16.1 in SWE
Stanley, ID
That day · 2026
73° / 25°F · 0.00"
05/11 average
60° / 23°F · 0.01"
19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
Lodge averages are for future dates only (station ended 2013).
Salmon, ID
That day · 2026
82° / 43°F · 0.00"
05/11 average
67° / 36°F · 0.03"
19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/11 average: 43% of peak melted · 16.1 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/11 average: 21% of peak melted · 34.8 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Mondays: 1.05%, about 1 in 95
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.