Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 21, 2026
River flow1.72 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
10/21 average
1.72 ft; discharge 657 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 56° / 22°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/21 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
10/21 average: 56° / 22°F · 0.02" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
10/21 average: 57° / 28°F · 0.06" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
10/21 average: 59° / 31°F · 0.01" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/21 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/21 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.