Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 23, 2026
River flow1.73 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
10/23 average
1.73 ft; discharge 668 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 54° / 20°F · 0.06" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/23 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Stanley, ID
10/23 average: 54° / 20°F · 0.06" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
10/23 average: 56° / 27°F · 0.03" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
10/23 average: 55° / 28°F · 0.00" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/23 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.3 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/23 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.6 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.