Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, October 28, 2026
River flow1.70 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
10/28 average
1.70 ft; discharge 639 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 48° / 17°F · 0.04" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 10/28 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
10/28 average: 48° / 17°F · 0.04" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
10/28 average: 51° / 24°F · 0.01" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
10/28 average: 50° / 25°F · 0.01" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 10/28 average: 0% of peak melted · 0.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 10/28 average: 0% of peak melted · 1.0 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.