Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, April 21, 2027
River flow3.20 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
04/21 average
3.20 ft; discharge 2,384 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 52° / 19°F · 0.05" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 04/21 average: 10% of peak melted · 24.5 in SWE
Stanley, ID
04/21 average: 52° / 19°F · 0.05" · 17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
04/21 average: 62° / 28°F · 0.02" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
04/21 average: 62° / 31°F · 0.02" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 04/21 average: 10% of peak melted · 24.5 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 04/21 average: 3% of peak melted · 41.9 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Wednesdays: 1.90%, about 1 in 53
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.