Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 14, 2027
River flow4.94 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
05/14 average
4.94 ft; discharge 5,708 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 61° / 27°F · 0.01" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/14 average: 50% of peak melted · 14.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
05/14 average: 61° / 27°F · 0.01" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
05/14 average: 71° / 33°F · 0.01" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
05/14 average: 70° / 39°F · 0.02" · 20 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/14 average: 50% of peak melted · 14.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/14 average: 26% of peak melted · 32.6 in SWE
Lottery oddsOutside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
2025 lottery
Outside the May 28–Sep 3 lottery season. Season-wide 2025: 1.79%.
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Fridays: 2.17%, about 1 in 46
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.