Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, May 30, 2027
River flow5.14 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
05/30 average
5.14 ft; discharge 5,938 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 63° / 29°F · 0.04" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 05/30 average: 83% of peak melted · 5.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
05/30 average: 63° / 29°F · 0.04" · 17 years
Middle Fork Lodge
05/30 average: 65° / 39°F · 0.03" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
05/30 average: 72° / 43°F · 0.02" · 18 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 05/30 average: 83% of peak melted · 5.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 05/30 average: 57% of peak melted · 19.6 in SWE
Lottery odds7.02% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 05/30 launch
7.02%
3.9× season avg 1.79% (+5.23 pts)
First-choice applications
57
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Sundays: 1.78%, about 1 in 56
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.