Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 1, 2027
River flow5.12 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/01 average
5.12 ft; discharge 5,866 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 67° / 31°F · 0.02" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/01 average: 86% of peak melted · 4.2 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/01 average: 67° / 31°F · 0.02" · 18 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/01 average: 74° / 41°F · 0.03" · 6 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/01 average: 76° / 46°F · 0.06" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/01 average: 86% of peak melted · 4.2 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/01 average: 61% of peak melted · 17.5 in SWE
Lottery odds3.01% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/01 launch
3.01%
1.7× season avg 1.79% (+1.22 pts)
First-choice applications
133
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Tuesdays: 1.54%, about 1 in 65
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.