Planning date
Middle Fork of the Salmon River, June 3, 2027
River flow5.15 ft
Daily reading
No daily actual yet — this date is not in the past.
06/03 average
5.15 ft; discharge 6,014 cfs
20-year USGS
Weather & snowStanley, ID · 68° / 35°F · 0.08" · Banner 312 · Banner Summit 312, 06/03 average: 90% of peak melted · 3.1 in SWE
Stanley, ID
06/03 average: 68° / 35°F · 0.08" · 19 years
Middle Fork Lodge
06/03 average: 70° / 44°F · 0.14" · 7 years · averages for future dates only; station ended 2013
Salmon, ID
06/03 average: 75° / 47°F · 0.01" · 19 years
Banner Summit 312
Banner Summit 312, 06/03 average: 90% of peak melted · 3.1 in SWE
Deadwood Summit 439
Deadwood Summit 439, 06/03 average: 66% of peak melted · 15.5 in SWE
Lottery odds3.92% first-choice proxy
2025 first-choice proxy · 06/03 launch
3.92%
2.2× season avg 1.79% (+2.13 pts)
First-choice applications
102
Private launches available
4
Season-wide 2025 success rate
1.79%
Day-of-week context (2025)
Days with the best odds: Saturday 2.81%, Friday 2.17%
Days with the worst odds: Monday 1.05%, Tuesday 1.54%
Thursdays: 2.10%, about 1 in 48
Odds are launches ÷ first-choice applications (2025 USFS). That is date competition, not a personal win rate.